{"id":291696,"date":"2015-06-06T13:22:12","date_gmt":"2015-06-06T17:22:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/policyoptions.irpp.org\/2015\/06\/how-trade-changes-when-firms-matter\/"},"modified":"2025-08-28T15:19:45","modified_gmt":"2025-08-28T19:19:45","slug":"how-trade-changes-when-firms-matter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/policyoptions.irpp.org\/fr\/2015\/06\/how-trade-changes-when-firms-matter\/","title":{"rendered":"How trade changes when firms matter"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Businesses, like people, differ in many important ways. Some are quite productive; some aren&#8217;t. Some businesses thrive after trade liberalization, while others fail.<\/p>\n<p>These ideas are almost self-evident, but it turns out that rigorously analyzing them is no easy task. In fact, significant research progress has only occurred in the past two decades by developing new firm-level data sets and trade models (as opposed to the earlier industry or country-level approaches).<\/p>\n<p>Because this research occurs largely at the academic frontiers and uses complex economic models, the results are not that clear to non-specialists. Thus, the goal of this new chapter in the IRPP&#8217;s trade <a href=\"https:\/\/irpp.org\/research\/trade\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">volume<\/a> by Beverly Lapham (economics professor at Queen&#8217;s University) is to demystify this research: to provide an accessible overview of recent developments in theoretical trade models and explore some of their policy implications.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Melitz model<\/strong><br \/>\nLapham describes \u2013in detail, but without the math\u2013\u00a0an important break-through model developed by Marc Melitz that emphasizes firm-level decisions and differences, which was published in 2003.<\/p>\n<p>This model emphasizes the fixed costs of entering foreign markets, and the fact that entry requires an up-front and uncertain investment. It allows us to conveniently group firms based on their productivity and whether they export.<\/p>\n<h6><a href=\"https:\/\/policyoptions.irpp.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Lapham_Melitz_sorting.png\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-10884\" src=\"https:\/\/policyoptions.irpp.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Lapham_Melitz_sorting.png\" alt=\"Lapham_Melitz_sorting\" width=\"1018\" height=\"715\" \/><\/a>*cpo= cut-off productivity for operating; cpe= cut-off productivity for exporting. Source: Lapham (IRPP, 2015).<\/h6>\n<p>The model predicts that as a group, exporters will tend to be larger and more productive than non-exporters\u2013\u00a0a result that&#8217;s been found for Canada and several other countries. (This <a href=\"https:\/\/irpp.org\/research-studies\/aots6-baldwin-yan\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">chapter<\/a> by Baldwin and Yan reviews the firm-level Canadian evidence and is a nice companion paper).<\/p>\n<p>Intuitively, only the more productive firms are profitable enough to cover the costs of entering the foreign market. So in the simplest Melitz framework there is &#8220;self-selection&#8221; into trade, where only &#8220;better&#8221; firms choose to export. However, it is increasingly clear that the effects go in both directions and that the act of trading can also raise firm-level productivity.<\/p>\n<p>Of course, the idea that increased trade raises productivity isn&#8217;t new. What&#8217;s new is the channel that arises for this to occur\u2013through differing responses to trade policy that shift the economy&#8217;s resources from firms with lower productivity to those with higher productivity.<\/p>\n<h6><a href=\"https:\/\/policyoptions.irpp.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Lapham_Melitz_trade_lib1.png\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-10887\" src=\"https:\/\/policyoptions.irpp.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/Lapham_Melitz_trade_lib1.png\" alt=\"Lapham_Melitz_trade_lib\" width=\"1092\" height=\"682\" \/><\/a>*cpo= cut-off productivity for operating; cpe= cut-off productivity for exporting. Source: Lapham (IRPP, 2015).<\/h6>\n<p>After trade liberalization, reallocation occurs through entry and exit, which academics often call the &#8220;extensive margin&#8221;. For example, tariff cuts induce tougher foreign competition (and higher domestic wages), which causes the least productive firms to exit the market. Conversely, improved market access abroad encourages the most-productive firms (of those that previously only served the domestic market) to enter export markets.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Recent extensions<\/strong><br \/>\nLapham also examines some of the most important recent extensions in this literature. These include:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>going beyond exporting to analyze the complementarities between exporting and importing that can also boost a firm&#8217;s productivity;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>the use of foreign direct investment rather than exports to serve foreign markets;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>how trade can affect the labour market and potentially increase wage inequality;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>the reinforcing link between trade and innovation;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>the potential for trade to reduce mark-ups (of selling prices relative to production costs); and<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>models that combine these newer firm-level decisions with traditional comparative advantage considerations at the industryand country-level.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Policy implications<br \/>\n<\/strong>Lapham summarizes some of the key policy implications from this class of models as follows:<\/p>\n<p>Governments should:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>consider the impacts of their policies on <em>potential<\/em> trade (entry and exit), not only <em>existing<\/em> trade;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>reduce the fixed costs for firms to participate in international markets (e.g., through regulatory cooperation);<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>emphasize the links between trade and productivity and communicate these benefits to the public;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>coordinate traditional trade policies with other trade-related policies such as innovation, investment and industrial policy;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>facilitate firms&#8217; imports of inputs;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul>\n<li>analyze the distributional impacts of trade for both firms and workers.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>This new policy focus means that our trade analysts need new tools, such as better access to firm-level and employee-employer matched data in Canada.<\/p>\n<p>Finally, Lapham cautions policy-makers that trade policies which simply reward firms for participating in international markets may not be cost-effective as they tend to have limited effects on trade, and may largely reward firms who would be active abroad even without government incentives.<\/p>\n<p>I encourage you to read the full paper <a href=\"https:\/\/irpp.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/05\/AOTS6-lapham.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">here<\/a>. It has something to offer for those who are familiar with this literature and non-specialists alike.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Businesses, like people, differ in many important ways. Some are quite productive; some aren&#8217;t. Some businesses thrive after trade liberalization, while others fail. These ideas are almost self-evident, but it turns out that rigorously analyzing them is no easy task. In fact, significant research progress has only occurred in the past two decades by developing [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":913,"featured_media":291344,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"content-type":"","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"article-status":[],"irpp-category":[],"section":[],"irpp-tag":[],"class_list":["post-291696","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>How trade changes when firms matter<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/policyoptions.irpp.org\/fr\/2015\/06\/how-trade-changes-when-firms-matter\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"How trade changes when firms matter\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Businesses, like people, differ in many important ways. 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