{"id":267293,"date":"2019-06-05T10:31:49","date_gmt":"2019-06-05T14:31:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/policyoptions.irpp.org\/issues\/climate-intensity-imperils-leaders-who-dont-keep-up\/"},"modified":"2025-10-07T22:34:03","modified_gmt":"2025-10-08T02:34:03","slug":"climate-intensity-imperils-leaders-who-dont-keep-up","status":"publish","type":"issues","link":"https:\/\/policyoptions.irpp.org\/fr\/2019\/06\/climate-intensity-imperils-leaders-who-dont-keep-up\/","title":{"rendered":"Climate intensity imperils leaders who don\u2019t keep up"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"dropcap-big\">This is what the age of climate intensity looks like.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s shifting our conversations. Changing our lives. Taking over our streets. Casting an outsized shadow, for better or worse, on elections around the world. Analysts say it <a href=\"https:\/\/theenergymix.com\/2019\/05\/28\/climate-crisis-emerges-as-key-ballot-box-issue-as-european-greens-post-record-gains\/\">transformed the results<\/a> of European Parliament elections in late May. And in Canada, it\u2019s coming this fall to a ballot box near you.<\/p>\n<p>For too long, political leaders could tick the box on climate change by expressing their deep, abiding concern, introducing largely cosmetic policy changes, then carrying on with business as usual. In Canada, <a href=\"https:\/\/policyoptions.irpp.org\/fr\/magazines\/january-2019\/its-true-the-oil-patch-doesnt-need-handouts\/\">massive fossil fuel subsidies<\/a> have continued with a nod and a wink, with self-styled climate leaders like British Columbia Premier John Horgan still finding <a href=\"https:\/\/theenergymix.com\/2019\/04\/07\/chevron-asks-to-double-proposed-lng-project-as-b-c-completes-fiscal-framework-for-lng-canada\/\">billions in tax breaks<\/a> for liquefied natural gas developments that will utterly defeat an otherwise <a href=\"https:\/\/theenergymix.com\/2019\/02\/21\/b-c-budgets-902-million-to-fully-fund-cleanbc-climate-plan\/\">solid effort<\/a> at an ambitious provincial carbon target.<\/p>\n<p>They won\u2019t get away with it for much longer. Because now, the scene is shifting, quickly and decisively enough that elected officials and their political strategists are being left behind. The depth, breadth and urgency of scientific reporting on climate change is accelerating, and it\u2019s driving a corresponding uptick in news coverage.<\/p>\n<p>A school strike movement that began last year with a solitary protester outside the Swedish parliament has spread to millions of students across 122 countries joining actions on Fridays, including <a href=\"https:\/\/fridaysforfuture.ca\/event-map\/\">dozens<\/a> of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.goodwork.ca\/action\/school-strike-for-climate-change-action-canada-52045\">coordinated protests<\/a> across Canada on May 24. And the student strike is the leading edge of a reality that should matter to every politician of every political stripe: after several years of what climate scientist Katharine Hayhoe calls \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/channel\/UCi6RkdaEqgRVKi3AzidF4ow\">global weirding<\/a>,\u201d countries everywhere are seeing an explosion of public demand for effective action along with a <a href=\"https:\/\/theenergymix.com\/2017\/04\/25\/nine-step-group-offers-support-for-climate-despair\/\">troubling undercurrent<\/a> of <a href=\"https:\/\/theenergymix.com\/2019\/03\/12\/women-declare-birthstrike-in-response-to-climate-crisis\/\">climate despair<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>That was then<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>As recently as 2014, a year before the United Nations climate conference that produced the Paris climate agreement, who would have expected a successful push for a climate stabilization target more ambitious than the 2\u00b0C goal that had been the international standard for a couple of decades? Or that just three years later, a normally staid United Nations agency would declare the tougher 1.5\u00b0C target mandatory, not optional, to avert global catastrophe? And hand the world\u2019s governments a 12-year deadline to deliver on that goal by cutting their greenhouse gas emissions by nearly half?<\/p>\n<p>Who knew that it would take only nine months for Swedish teenager Greta Thunberg\u2019s solo protest to grow into a <a href=\"https:\/\/theenergymix.com\/2019\/04\/25\/thunberg-addresses-uk-parliament-as-extinction-rebellion-caps-nine-days-of-street-protests\/\">global movement<\/a>? That Thunberg would spend much of the year travelling Europe by train (never by air) to meet UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres, address the <a href=\"https:\/\/theenergymix.com\/2018\/12\/10\/greta-thunberg-brings-school-strike-to-cop-24-inspires-action-from-canada-to-australia\/\">2018 UN climate conference<\/a> and the <a href=\"https:\/\/theenergymix.com\/2019\/01\/27\/headline-thunberg-addresses-world-economic-forum-our-house-is-on-fire\/\">2019 World Economic Forum<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/theenergymix.com\/2019\/04\/25\/thunberg-addresses-uk-parliament-as-extinction-rebellion-caps-nine-days-of-street-protests\/\">chastise<\/a> members of the British Parliament for their lame response to the climate crisis and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2019\/mar\/14\/greta-thunberg-nominated-nobel-peace-prize\">earn<\/a> a Nobel Peace Prize nomination along the way?<\/p>\n<p>And who could have predicted that stunningly inexpensive <a href=\"https:\/\/theenergymix.com\/2015\/09\/21\/world-solar-costs-to-fall-another-40-by-2020\/\">solar<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/theenergymix.com\/2017\/01\/27\/uk-offshore-wind-costs-fall-32-in-four-years-beating-government-target\/\">wind<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/theenergymix.com\/2019\/03\/29\/affordable-batteries-with-renewables-undercut-coal-natural-gas-for-reliable-grid-power\/\">battery storage<\/a> technologies would <a href=\"https:\/\/theenergymix.com\/2019\/03\/27\/74-of-u-s-coal-plants-are-walking-dead-thanks-to-cheaper-renewables\/\">undercut<\/a> global <a href=\"https:\/\/theenergymix.com\/2018\/02\/04\/falling-solar-costs-mounting-air-pollution-threaten-coals-dominance-in-india\/\">coal<\/a> demand and <a href=\"https:\/\/theenergymix.com\/2018\/03\/29\/economics-of-new-coal-and-gas-plants-crumble-as-solar-and-wind-costs-plunge-bnef\/\">compete successfully<\/a> with natural gas power plants? Or make it pretty much inevitable that electric cars will be <a href=\"https:\/\/theenergymix.com\/2018\/05\/24\/evs-headed-for-cost-parity-with-internal-combustion-set-to-dominate-bus-sales-in-2020s\/\">cheaper<\/a> to own and operate than internal combustion vehicles in the next couple of years?<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>This is now<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>After five years of publishing the <em>Energy Mix<\/em>, a thrice-weekly e-digest on climate, energy and carbon-free solutions, I see the pace and depth of that change showing up in my inbox every morning. And it points to a bigger narrative behind the individual headlines.<\/p>\n<p>The volume of reporting pretty much doubled between May 2014, when our first edition appeared, and the Paris climate conference in December 2015, then doubled again in the couple of years that followed. Now, I\u2019m pretty sure we\u2019re in the midst of another doubling.<\/p>\n<p>But climate intensity is a measure of quality as well as quantity. One morning in mid-May, I opened my email to find a cascade of climate stories that were current, compelling and urgent. None of them would have been on anyone\u2019s radar three to five years ago.<\/p>\n<p>There were three major studies on plastics pollution, including a <a href=\"https:\/\/theenergymix.com\/2019\/05\/16\/blockbuster-report-shows-plastics-producing-850-million-tonnes-of-emissions-this-year\/\">blockbuster analysis<\/a> that traced a carbon footprint equal to 189 new coal plants to the plastics industry, which begins with fossil fuels for its raw material. A major UN biodiversity report had just <a href=\"https:\/\/theenergymix.com\/2019\/05\/06\/reverse-biodiversity-loss-to-protect-up-to-a-million-species-un-commission-urges\/\">warned<\/a> that up to a million species face extinction, many of them within decades, partly due to climate change.<\/p>\n<p>There were two <a href=\"https:\/\/theenergymix.com\/2019\/05\/16\/two-emergency-resolutions-one-new-climate-platform-as-parties-position-for-fall-vote\/\">competing climate emergency resolutions<\/a> up for debate in the House of Commons, with Liberals and New Democrats trying to outdo each other for the mantle of climate leader. Green candidate Paul Manly had recently <a href=\"https:\/\/theenergymix.com\/2019\/05\/08\/climate-emerges-as-ballot-box-question-as-greens-win-british-columbia-byelection\/\">won<\/a> a by-election in the BC riding of Nanaimo-Ladysmith after a campaign in which climate change was a top ballot-box issue. In the previous weeks, the climate crisis had surged to the top of the pre-election agenda, with nine million Canadians <a href=\"https:\/\/theenergymix.com\/2019\/03\/29\/nine-million-canadians-cite-climate-as-vote-determining-issue\/\">declaring<\/a> it among their top one or two voting issues and 48 percent <a href=\"https:\/\/theenergymix.com\/2019\/04\/24\/climate-and-environment-emerge-as-top-public-concerns-before-canadian-australian-elections\/\">identifying<\/a> it as a leading policy concern.<\/p>\n<p>And Greta Thunberg had gained enough prominence to <a href=\"https:\/\/theenergymix.com\/2019\/05\/16\/thunberg-becomes-target-for-german-far-right\/\">become<\/a> a target of choice for far-right provocateurs in Germany. The combined weight of knowledge and action wasn\u2019t nearly enough to stop Thunberg from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/commentisfree\/2019\/may\/23\/greta-thunberg-young-people-climate-strikes-20-september\">observing<\/a> that whereas in other times of crisis adults have raced to the defence of their offspring, \u201ctoday we children are fighting for ourselves, [while] so many of our parents are busy discussing whether our grades are good, or a new diet or what happened in the Game of Thrones finale.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>But her comment did show up in the <em>Guardian<\/em>, one of the English-speaking world\u2019s newspapers of record, in a bylined piece by Thunberg and 46 other youth activists. That, too, would have been unimaginable a scant 12 months ago.<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>The peril for politicians<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has been a textbook example of how not to respond \u2014 to the climate crisis itself and to the public urgency it has triggered.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cCanada is back, my friends,\u201d the newly minted PM <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/news\/politics\/trudeau-address-climate-change-paris-1.3343394\">told<\/a> the Paris conference in December 2015. \u201cWe\u2019re here to help.\u201d But \u201cno country would find 173 billion barrels of oil and just leave it in the ground,\u201d he <a href=\"https:\/\/theenergymix.com\/2017\/03\/13\/new-regs-will-give-fossil-investors-the-clarity-they-need-trudeau-declares\/\">added<\/a> less than two years later, in a keynote address to the big CERAWeek oil and gas conference in Houston.<\/p>\n<p>That contradiction might have been excused in 2015 or even in 2017. But not today. Now, with the federal election looming, party leaders are either tripping over themselves to promise to make the Alberta fossil industry great again or <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/news\/canada\/edmonton\/alberta-oil-green-party-leader-elizabeth-may-1.5151214\">calculating<\/a> how far they can safely stray from that line without losing mainstream support. If climate intensity shifts that mainstream much farther, they\u2019ll all be caught flat-footed, as many of their counterparts have been in the EU.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMore than a protest vote, Green strength also rests on deep concern in Germany about the state of the planet,\u201d the <em>Washington Post<\/em> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/world\/europe\/european-greens-surge-as-voters-abandon-old-parties-over-climate\/2019\/05\/27\/185be506-8085-11e9-b585-e36b16a531aa_story.html?utm_term=.efcc7864da37&amp;wpisrc=nl_todayworld&amp;wpmm=1\">reported<\/a>. \u201cGerman voters told pollsters that the environment was their top concern going into the vote, and that was apparent in the outcome. Exit polls in Germany showed the Greens to be the overwhelming top choice for young voters and for first-time voters. The party also did especially well in cities, while taking voters from both the center-left and the center-right parties.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The wider global sweep of recent election results has been more mixed. Far-right parties have gained in the EU, and a pro-coal, climate-denying coalition unexpectedly won a <a href=\"https:\/\/theenergymix.com\/2019\/05\/20\/climate-denying-liberal-national-coalition-wins-australia-election\/\">close race<\/a> in Australia, largely on support from the coal-producing state of Queensland.<\/p>\n<p>But take a step back, and the momentum is unmistakable. Climate intensity scarcely existed when Canadians last went to the polls, but it\u2019s surging today. With much of eastern Canada still recovering from <a href=\"https:\/\/theenergymix.com\/2019\/05\/01\/epic-eastern-canadian-floods-drive-adaptation-discussion-as-ghg-reductions-lag\/\">epic floods<\/a>, and the West heading into <a href=\"https:\/\/theenergymix.com\/2019\/05\/20\/high-level-alberta-under-evacuation-alert-as-60000-hectare-wildfire-burns-nearby\/\">wildfire season<\/a>, the demand for real action and consistent policies could become an irresistible force on the campaign trail.<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"image-caption\">Photo:\u00a0Shutterstock, by\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.shutterstock.com\/g\/ash.b\">Ash.B<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><em>Do you have something to say about the article you just read? Be part of the\u00a0<\/em>Policy Options<em>\u00a0discussion, and send in your own submission.\u00a0Here is a\u00a0<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/policyoptions.irpp.org\/article-submission\/\"><em>link<\/em><\/a><em>\u00a0on how to do it. <\/em><em>|\u00a0Souhaitez-vous r\u00e9agir \u00e0 cet article ? <\/em><em>Joignez-vous aux d\u00e9bats d\u2019<\/em>Options politiques\u00a0<em>et soumettez-nous votre texte en suivant ces\u00a0<\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/policyoptions.irpp.org\/fr\/article-submission\/\"><em>directives<\/em><\/a><em>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This is what the age of climate intensity looks like. It\u2019s shifting our conversations. Changing our lives. Taking over our streets. Casting an outsized shadow, for better or worse, on elections around the world. Analysts say it transformed the results of European Parliament elections in late May. And in Canada, it\u2019s coming this fall to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":275863,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"content-type":"","ep_exclude_from_search":false,"apple_news_api_created_at":"2025-10-08T02:34:06Z","apple_news_api_id":"dc8b7f05-4afe-42a7-b145-64ffec2367bb","apple_news_api_modified_at":"2025-10-08T02:34:06Z","apple_news_api_revision":"AAAAAAAAAAD\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/w==","apple_news_api_share_url":"https:\/\/apple.news\/A3It_BUr-QqexRWT_7CNnuw","apple_news_cover_media_provider":"image","apple_news_coverimage":0,"apple_news_coverimage_caption":"","apple_news_cover_video_id":0,"apple_news_cover_video_url":"","apple_news_cover_embedwebvideo_url":"","apple_news_is_hidden":"","apple_news_is_paid":"","apple_news_is_preview":"","apple_news_is_sponsored":"","apple_news_maturity_rating":"","apple_news_metadata":"\"\"","apple_news_pullquote":"","apple_news_pullquote_position":"","apple_news_slug":"","apple_news_sections":[],"apple_news_suppress_video_url":false,"apple_news_use_image_component":false},"categories":[9361,9358,9372],"tags":[8638],"article-status":[],"irpp-category":[4261,4295],"section":[],"irpp-tag":[],"class_list":["post-267293","issues","type-issues","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-environnement","category-politique","category-recent-stories-fr","tag-changements-climatiques","irpp-category-environnement","irpp-category-politique"],"acf":[],"apple_news_notices":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Climate intensity imperils leaders who don\u2019t keep up<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/policyoptions.irpp.org\/fr\/2019\/06\/climate-intensity-imperils-leaders-who-dont-keep-up\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Climate intensity imperils leaders who don\u2019t keep up\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This is what the age of climate intensity looks like. 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It\u2019s shifting our conversations. Changing our lives. Taking over our streets. Casting an outsized shadow, for better or worse, on elections around the world. Analysts say it transformed the results of European Parliament elections in late May. 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